List of all our published reports, to have access to any of them, contact us via email: silcon@silcon.ecn.br

 

  • RS100 - “Bases for the scenario simulator for agribusiness”, January 2024

  • RS099 - “Financial crises and economic cycles: Contagion, resilience and fraud”, October 2023

  • RS098 - “The exit to the peaceful: dreams, fantasies and possibilities”, October 2022

  • RS097 - “Notes on the application of leading indicators in monitoring and forecasting variables for the supplementary healthcare market ”, June 2022

  • RS096 - “Monitoring and forecasting the supplementary healthcare market ”, October 2021

  • RS095 - “Teaching notes on the probability of cyclical reversals”, September 2021

  • RS094 - “Monitoring and forecasting default: addendum for companies of different sizes”, May 2021

  • RS094 - “Monitoring and forecasting default: addendum for companies of different sizes”, May 2021

  • RS093 - “Notes on monitoring and forecasting defaults in the banking system”, April 2021

  • RS092 - “Economic notes for reflection on investments in railways in Brazil”, March 2021

  • RS091 - “The Covid-19 pandemic and the world in darkness: economic notes to keep you up at night”, March 2021

  • RS090 - “Quantification of job creation and tax revenue in regional development programs”, September 2020

  • RS089 - “Marginal tariff for public utility services”, September 2020

  • RS088 - “The rate of return on capital in Brazil: revisiting the topic”, August 2020

  • RS087 - “Concentration and competition in rural insurance: a diagnosis”, April 2020

  • RS086 - “Concentration, competition and contestation in insurance markets: Part I - Diagnosis”, March 2020

  • RS085 – “The use of family farming in school meals: the case of Rio de Janeiro”, November 2019

  • RS084 – “Attributes for family farming to join the PNAE – National School Feeding Program”, October 2019

  • RS083 - “Tourism activity monitoring and forecasting system – IAC Brasil”, September 2017

  • RS082 - “Interest once again! And with emotion”, August 2017

  • RS081 - “Market moods and business management: the use of leading indicators”, September 2016

  • RS080 - “Forecasting and simulation of scenarios: applications in insurance markets”, June 2016

  • RS079 – “History numbers: the case of Latin America”, May 2016, published in History and Economy (Instituto BBS), vol.16, no.1, 1st semester of 2016, pp.15-86

  • RS078 - “The current situation: the Economy according to Stanislaw Ponte Preta”, April 2015, presented at the Council of Economy, Sociology and Politics, Federation of Commerce of the State of São Paulo and the Regional Councils of SESC and SENAC, São Paulo, 9 April 2015

  • RS077 - “ Reinsurance in Brazil : challenges and opportunities of the opening of the market ”, September 2014, prepared for CEBRI - Brazilian Center for International Relations , Rio de Janeiro. Published in RBRSi – Brazilian Journal of International Risk and Insurance, vol. 10, no. 18, April 2014-March 2015, pp.1-48. Portuguese version “Reinsurance in Brazil: challenges and opportunities of opening up”.

  • RS076 - “Coinciding indicators for state economic activity”, July 2014, presented at DIMAC 457 Seminars, IPEA, Rio de Janeiro, March 25, 2015

  • RS075 - “Company evaluation and criteria for ranking performance”, February 2014

  • RS074 - “Chronology of reversals and cycle concepts”, November 2013

  • RS072 - “Tax impacts of large projects: methodology for quantifying direct and indirect effects”, January 2013

  • RS071 - “The environment in project evaluation”, November 2012.

  • RS070 - “Safety and the environment”, October 2012

  • RS069 - “The effect of investments in marketing on company results ” , October 2012, partnership with NB Consulting Group

  • RS068 - “Expansion of the insurance market, portfolio risk and return”, September 2012

  • RS067 - “Insurance fraud: economic aspects”, October 2011, published in RBRSi – Revista Brasileira de Risco e Seguro, vol. 7, no. 13, April/September 2011, pp. 67-104.

  • RS066 - “Is the crisis over? And who pays the bill?”, September 2011, published in Carta Mensal CNC, no. 682, January 2012, pp.42-62, reprinted in Mello e Souza, Nelson (org.), Contributions to Brazilian thought : Economy (CNC, 2014), pp.80-105

  • RS065 - “Insurance markets in Brazil: simulating scenarios for strategic planning ” August 2010.

  • RS064 - “2010-2013: is the worst over?”, March 2010

  • RS062 - “Pension and capitalization: forecast with leading indicators ”, May 2005

  • RS061 - “Activity and inflation: what to expect from interest rate policy”, July 2005, also in CNC Monthly Letter, vol. 51, August 2005, no.605, pp.31-45

  • RS059 - “System of leading indicators for the tourism sector: air transport passenger flow - Research Description of profiles and dynamics of supply and demand for tourist services”, Ministry of Tourism, December 2006

  • RS058 - “The horizon of monetary policy”, October 2007, published in Conjuntura Econômica, vol. 61, no.10, October 2007

  • RS057 - “The future belongs to the past”, October 2007

  • RS056 - “Macroeconomic environment and Civil Construction: the years 2007-2008”, March 2007, presented at the III Seminar “The Brazilian economy and civil construction”, SINDUSCON, Recife, Pernambuco, March 2002.

  • RS054 - “Interest and economic activity: empirical evidence for reflection”, February 2007, published in Carta Mensal CNC, vol.53, no. 627, June 2007, pp.29-43

  • RS053 - “The post-election situation : what the leading indicators say”, September 2006

  • RS052 - “Packaging market and economic activity: a system of leading indicators”, December 2005

  • RS051 - “ Financing economic growth in Brazil : challenges and opportunities ", August 2003, published as "Financing the recovery: challenges and opportunities", in Dias Leite, Antônio and João Paulo dos Reis Velloso (eds.), The new government and the challenges of development, (Rio de Janeiro, Jose Olympio Editora, 2002).

  • RS050 – “Macroeconomic scenarios 2001-02: impacts of the energy crises and Argentina”, September 2001

  • RS049 - “Identification and selection of variables in the assembly of leading indicators”, February 2001

  • RS048 - “Economic activity in 2001: what the leading indicators ”, November 2000, presented at the “Forecast Seminar on Leading Indicators ”, IPEA/OECD/CEPAL, Rio de Janeiro, 4-5 December 2000.

  • RS047 – “Leading indicators: a basic bibliography”, April 2000

  • RS046 - “Inflation targets and economic policy: the use of leading indicators ”, April 2000, presented as “ Inflation targeting and leading indicators : some notes”, “ One Year of Inflation Targeting , Rio de Janeiro, July 10-11, 2000, Banco Central

  • RS045 - “Efficiency, productivity and technology: assessment of company performance”, March 2000

  • RS044 - “Forecasting with Leading Indicators”, January 2000

  • RS043 – “The pay TV industry: demand factors and perspectives in Brazil”, November 1999

  • RS042 – “Capitalization market: recovering history and future scenarios”, October 1999

  • RS041 – “A contribution to the history of insurance in Brazil”, October 1999

  • RS040 - “Insolvency cycles and the real plan: a forecasting system”, August 1997

  • RS039 - “Economic forecasts and scenarios: art and deception”, September 1999

  • RS037 - “Strategic planning, market share and the economy”, January 1999

  • RS036 – “Managing insurance companies’ technical reserves: three questions”, December 1998

  • RS035 – “The effects of regulation on institutional investors”, November 1998

  • RS034 – “Investment and real estate portfolios: the gains from diversification in Brazil”, October 1998

  • RS032 – “Macroeconomics and insurance: the creation of strategic scenarios”, September 1998

  • RS031 - “Cycle forecasting: a didactic approach to the leading indicator method”, July 1995

  • RS030 – “Capitalization of the economy and economic growth: some myths”, August 1994

  • Insolvency forecast for Brazilian air transport companies.

  • The fibrin glue market: Analysis of the potential market and regulatory aspects.

  • Basic Notes on the application of artificial intelligence in the insurance markets in Brazil.

  • French Companies in Brazil: an assessment of their importance

  • SegPrev Letter March - 2018

  •  SegPrev Letter July 2018

  • “Marginal tariff for public utility services”, September 2020

  • “Quantification of job creation and tax revenue in regional development programs”, September 2020

  • “The environment in project evaluation”, November 2012.

  • “Tax impacts of large projects: methodology for quantifying direct and indirect effects”, January 2013

  • “The rate of return on capital in Brazil: revisiting the topic”, August 2020.