List of all our published reports, to have access to any of them, contact us via email: silcon@silcon.ecn.br
RS100 - “Bases for the scenario simulator for agribusiness”, January 2024
RS099 - “Financial crises and economic cycles: Contagion, resilience and fraud”, October 2023
RS098 - “The exit to the peaceful: dreams, fantasies and possibilities”, October 2022
RS097 - “Notes on the application of leading indicators in monitoring and forecasting variables for the supplementary healthcare market ”, June 2022
RS096 - “Monitoring and forecasting the supplementary healthcare market ”, October 2021
RS095 - “Teaching notes on the probability of cyclical reversals”, September 2021
RS094 - “Monitoring and forecasting default: addendum for companies of different sizes”, May 2021
RS094 - “Monitoring and forecasting default: addendum for companies of different sizes”, May 2021
RS093 - “Notes on monitoring and forecasting defaults in the banking system”, April 2021
RS092 - “Economic notes for reflection on investments in railways in Brazil”, March 2021
RS091 - “The Covid-19 pandemic and the world in darkness: economic notes to keep you up at night”, March 2021
RS090 - “Quantification of job creation and tax revenue in regional development programs”, September 2020
RS089 - “Marginal tariff for public utility services”, September 2020
RS088 - “The rate of return on capital in Brazil: revisiting the topic”, August 2020
RS087 - “Concentration and competition in rural insurance: a diagnosis”, April 2020
RS086 - “Concentration, competition and contestation in insurance markets: Part I - Diagnosis”, March 2020
RS085 – “The use of family farming in school meals: the case of Rio de Janeiro”, November 2019
RS084 – “Attributes for family farming to join the PNAE – National School Feeding Program”, October 2019
RS083 - “Tourism activity monitoring and forecasting system – IAC Brasil”, September 2017
RS082 - “Interest once again! And with emotion”, August 2017
RS081 - “Market moods and business management: the use of leading indicators”, September 2016
RS080 - “Forecasting and simulation of scenarios: applications in insurance markets”, June 2016
RS079 – “History numbers: the case of Latin America”, May 2016, published in History and Economy (Instituto BBS), vol.16, no.1, 1st semester of 2016, pp.15-86
RS078 - “The current situation: the Economy according to Stanislaw Ponte Preta”, April 2015, presented at the Council of Economy, Sociology and Politics, Federation of Commerce of the State of São Paulo and the Regional Councils of SESC and SENAC, São Paulo, 9 April 2015
RS077 - “ Reinsurance in Brazil : challenges and opportunities of the opening of the market ”, September 2014, prepared for CEBRI - Brazilian Center for International Relations , Rio de Janeiro. Published in RBRSi – Brazilian Journal of International Risk and Insurance, vol. 10, no. 18, April 2014-March 2015, pp.1-48. Portuguese version “Reinsurance in Brazil: challenges and opportunities of opening up”.
RS076 - “Coinciding indicators for state economic activity”, July 2014, presented at DIMAC 457 Seminars, IPEA, Rio de Janeiro, March 25, 2015
RS075 - “Company evaluation and criteria for ranking performance”, February 2014
RS074 - “Chronology of reversals and cycle concepts”, November 2013
RS072 - “Tax impacts of large projects: methodology for quantifying direct and indirect effects”, January 2013
RS071 - “The environment in project evaluation”, November 2012.
RS070 - “Safety and the environment”, October 2012
RS069 - “The effect of investments in marketing on company results ” , October 2012, partnership with NB Consulting Group
RS068 - “Expansion of the insurance market, portfolio risk and return”, September 2012
RS067 - “Insurance fraud: economic aspects”, October 2011, published in RBRSi – Revista Brasileira de Risco e Seguro, vol. 7, no. 13, April/September 2011, pp. 67-104.
RS066 - “Is the crisis over? And who pays the bill?”, September 2011, published in Carta Mensal CNC, no. 682, January 2012, pp.42-62, reprinted in Mello e Souza, Nelson (org.), Contributions to Brazilian thought : Economy (CNC, 2014), pp.80-105
RS065 - “Insurance markets in Brazil: simulating scenarios for strategic planning ” August 2010.
RS064 - “2010-2013: is the worst over?”, March 2010
RS062 - “Pension and capitalization: forecast with leading indicators ”, May 2005
RS061 - “Activity and inflation: what to expect from interest rate policy”, July 2005, also in CNC Monthly Letter, vol. 51, August 2005, no.605, pp.31-45
RS059 - “System of leading indicators for the tourism sector: air transport passenger flow - Research Description of profiles and dynamics of supply and demand for tourist services”, Ministry of Tourism, December 2006
RS058 - “The horizon of monetary policy”, October 2007, published in Conjuntura Econômica, vol. 61, no.10, October 2007
RS057 - “The future belongs to the past”, October 2007
RS056 - “Macroeconomic environment and Civil Construction: the years 2007-2008”, March 2007, presented at the III Seminar “The Brazilian economy and civil construction”, SINDUSCON, Recife, Pernambuco, March 2002.
RS054 - “Interest and economic activity: empirical evidence for reflection”, February 2007, published in Carta Mensal CNC, vol.53, no. 627, June 2007, pp.29-43
RS053 - “The post-election situation : what the leading indicators say”, September 2006
RS052 - “Packaging market and economic activity: a system of leading indicators”, December 2005
RS051 - “ Financing economic growth in Brazil : challenges and opportunities ", August 2003, published as "Financing the recovery: challenges and opportunities", in Dias Leite, Antônio and João Paulo dos Reis Velloso (eds.), The new government and the challenges of development, (Rio de Janeiro, Jose Olympio Editora, 2002).
RS050 – “Macroeconomic scenarios 2001-02: impacts of the energy crises and Argentina”, September 2001
RS049 - “Identification and selection of variables in the assembly of leading indicators”, February 2001
RS048 - “Economic activity in 2001: what the leading indicators ”, November 2000, presented at the “Forecast Seminar on Leading Indicators ”, IPEA/OECD/CEPAL, Rio de Janeiro, 4-5 December 2000.
RS047 – “Leading indicators: a basic bibliography”, April 2000
RS046 - “Inflation targets and economic policy: the use of leading indicators ”, April 2000, presented as “ Inflation targeting and leading indicators : some notes”, “ One Year of Inflation Targeting , Rio de Janeiro, July 10-11, 2000, Banco Central
RS045 - “Efficiency, productivity and technology: assessment of company performance”, March 2000
RS044 - “Forecasting with Leading Indicators”, January 2000
RS043 – “The pay TV industry: demand factors and perspectives in Brazil”, November 1999
RS042 – “Capitalization market: recovering history and future scenarios”, October 1999
RS041 – “A contribution to the history of insurance in Brazil”, October 1999
RS040 - “Insolvency cycles and the real plan: a forecasting system”, August 1997
RS039 - “Economic forecasts and scenarios: art and deception”, September 1999
RS037 - “Strategic planning, market share and the economy”, January 1999
RS036 – “Managing insurance companies’ technical reserves: three questions”, December 1998
RS035 – “The effects of regulation on institutional investors”, November 1998
RS034 – “Investment and real estate portfolios: the gains from diversification in Brazil”, October 1998
RS032 – “Macroeconomics and insurance: the creation of strategic scenarios”, September 1998
RS031 - “Cycle forecasting: a didactic approach to the leading indicator method”, July 1995
RS030 – “Capitalization of the economy and economic growth: some myths”, August 1994
Insolvency forecast for Brazilian air transport companies.
The fibrin glue market: Analysis of the potential market and regulatory aspects.
Basic Notes on the application of artificial intelligence in the insurance markets in Brazil.
French Companies in Brazil: an assessment of their importance
SegPrev Letter March - 2018
SegPrev Letter July 2018
“Marginal tariff for public utility services”, September 2020
“Quantification of job creation and tax revenue in regional development programs”, September 2020
“The environment in project evaluation”, November 2012.
“Tax impacts of large projects: methodology for quantifying direct and indirect effects”, January 2013
“The rate of return on capital in Brazil: revisiting the topic”, August 2020.